The methods proposed in the past to evaluate the geothermal potential of a
given area can be grouped in the following four classes: (a) the heat-flow
method; (b) the volume method; (c) the planar-fracture method and (d) the
magmatic-heat-balance method (Muffler, 1973; Bodvarsson, 1974; Nathenson
and Muffler, 1975; Renner et al., 1975; Smith and Shaw, 1975; Muffler and
Cataldi, 1978; Cataldi et al., 1978; Cataldi and Squarci, 1978; Cataldi and
Celati, 1983; Wohletz and Heiken, 1992).
They were critically re-examined by Marini et al. (1993) who: (1) modified the
volume method by taking into account the geochemical data available for
shallow groudwaters and gas emissions from soils; (2) calibrated this method
based on the production data available for the geothermal fields either under
exploitation or explored through deep drilling (Larderello, Travale, Bagnore,
Piancastagnaio, Torre Alfina, Latera, Cesano and Mofete); (3) applied the
modified volume method to several areas of Italy for which geochemical data
are available.
In the original volume method, the heat stored underneath the considered
area, until a given depth (which depends on economical and technological
parameters), is computed for each of the recognisable geological-
hydrogeological units, by means of simple heat balances (e.g., Cataldi et al.,
1978). This exercise requires knowledge of the following parameters: volume,
porosity and temperature of each unit, density and heat capacity of the rocks,
density and heat capacity of the fluids and reference temperature (usually 25°
C). A recovery factor is then used to compute the extractable geothermal
energy.
In the modified volume method, the areas of high CO2 flux (recognisable at the
surface based on the presence of high-PCO2 waters and/or CO2-rich gas
emissions from soils) are used to bound the extension of geothermal
reservoirs. This approach is based on the fact that a continuous flux of deep
CO2 occurs through all known geothermal systems of medium-high enthalpy in
the same manner as the heat flux (e.g., Mahon et al., 1980; Marini and
Chiodini, 1994; Gambardella et al., 2004).
Here we present an example of application of the modified volume method in
Central Italy, through the superposition of the maps depicting the geographical
distribution of the following parameters:
(a) depth of the potential geothermal reservoir (from Buonasorte et al., 1995);
(b) temperature at the top of the potential geothermal reservoir (from
Buonasorte et al., 1995);
(c) PCO2 in shallow groundwaters (from Gambardella et al., 2004).
Suitable assumptions (Marini et al., 1993) are adopted to quantify the total
volume of the geothermal reservoir and its productivity. This exercise leads to
the identification of:
(1) a total extractable thermal power of 440-550 MW from conventional
geothermal reservoirs with temperature higher than 200°C;
(2) a total extractable thermal power of 1070-1540 MW from conventional
geothermal reservoirs with temperatures of 45-90°C.
In order to apply this approach to areas where low-enthalpy geothermal
resources are present (e.g., the sedimentary basin of the Po Valley in Northern
Italy), research must be focussed towards the identification and use of
permeability-indicator(s) other than carbon dioxide.
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